Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.386882 0.446328 0.510919 0.586187 0.671363 0.764628 0.874352
2025-10-12 0.300468 0.385501 0.486833 0.615875 0.775156 0.964599 1.206189
2025-10-19 0.246554 0.342405 0.464689 0.630785 0.848947 1.123980 1.494932
2025-10-26 0.206973 0.307205 0.442552 0.636413 0.904244 1.258075 1.757066
2025-11-02 0.175656 0.276637 0.420024 0.635177 0.945734 1.372839 1.998470
2025-11-09 0.149159 0.248163 0.395397 0.625894 0.972037 1.465546 2.213283
2025-11-16 0.127854 0.223946 0.373143 0.616046 0.994297 1.551540 2.422001
2025-11-23 0.108194 0.199220 0.346559 0.595613 0.997051 1.607026 2.587537
2025-11-30 0.102022 0.195907 0.353250 0.627627 1.082629 1.791721 2.958443
2025-12-07 0.088160 0.177181 0.332082 0.611378 1.088780 1.853012 3.141765
2025-12-14 0.076177 0.160080 0.311511 0.593517 1.089782 1.904828 3.311767
2025-12-21 0.066663 0.146234 0.294964 0.580591 1.097248 1.966481 3.500145
2025-12-28 0.061739 0.140914 0.293749 0.595622 1.155493 2.118171 3.850484
2026-01-04 0.058978 0.139667 0.300131 0.625369 1.242524 2.324954 4.307846
2026-01-11 0.054824 0.134858 0.298959 0.640459 1.303692 2.490491 4.704030
2026-01-18 0.050169 0.128251 0.293360 0.646163 1.347405 2.627449 5.057763
2026-01-25 0.045408 0.120670 0.284808 0.644909 1.377294 2.740730 5.375099
2026-02-01 0.040512 0.112011 0.272925 0.635498 1.390163 2.823033 5.640389
2026-02-08 0.036149 0.103960 0.261384 0.625513 1.400743 2.901146 5.901719
2026-02-15 0.031549 0.094559 0.245656 0.604795 1.387463 2.932428 6.076267
2026-02-22 0.030903 0.095402 0.253689 0.637255 1.487063 3.188004 6.691693
2026-03-01 0.027316 0.087734 0.240641 0.620780 1.481537 3.236129 6.908574
2026-03-08 0.024052 0.080404 0.227499 0.602670 1.470774 3.272625 7.103973